De LEGO waardestijgingsformule — Wat een set waardevol maakt (Data van 2,572 uitgelopen sets)

Laatst bijgewerkt: maart 2026 — live marktdata van ScoutLoot

We analyseerden 2,572 uitgelopen LEGO sets met marktdata om te ontdekken wat daadwerkelijk waardestijging na uitloop aandrijft. De resultaten zijn helder, kwantificeerbaar en soms verrassend.

Factor 1: Thema

Theme	Retired Sets	Avg. Winner Gain	Win Rate
Bionicle	6 (6W/0L)	+922%	100%
Advanced models	27 (26W/0L)	+426%	96%
The Lord of the Rings	7 (7W/0L)	+309%	100%
The Hobbit	5 (5W/0L)	+268%	100%
Monster Fighters	6 (6W/0L)	+194%	100%
Architecture	44 (35W/2L)	+173%	80%
Ninjago	153 (86W/28L)	+173%	56%
Ultra Agents	8 (4W/0L)	+160%	50%
Ideas	50 (23W/14L)	+158%	46%
Star Wars	299 (167W/68L)	+150%	56%
Super Mario	50 (1W/38L)	+128%	2%
Minecraft	74 (22W/20L)	+124%	30%
Cars	8 (7W/0L)	+121%	88%
Speed Champions	39 (15W/18L)	+114%	38%
Elves	24 (21W/1L)	+103%	88%

Factor 2: Community Rating

Brickset Rating	Retired Sets	Avg. Appreciation	Win Rate
Below 3.0	450	+92%	18%
4.5-5.0 (Excellent)	85	+157%	59%
4.0-4.4 (Great)	1,068	+125%	48%
3.5-3.9 (Good)	868	+82%	37%
3.0-3.4 (Average)	101	+72%	18%

Factor 3: Piece Count

Piece Count	Retired Sets	Avg. Appreciation	Win Rate
2000-2999 pieces	98	+152%	43%
1000-1999 pieces	326	+125%	39%
200-499 pieces	975	+114%	39%
3000+ pieces	69	+120%	39%
500-999 pieces	712	+99%	38%
0-199 pieces	392	+78%	33%

Factor 4: Minifig Count

Minifig Count	Retired Sets	Avg. Appreciation	Win Rate
0 minifigs	483	+133%	38%
6-10 minifigs	362	+117%	42%
3-5 minifigs	1,088	+106%	40%
1-2 minifigs	581	+88%	31%
11+ minifigs	58	+58%	34%

Factor 5: Packaging Type

Packaging	Retired Sets	Avg. Appreciation	Win Rate
Box	2,467	+102%	38%
Bucket	3	+80%	67%
Tub	15	+23%	13%
Plastic box	13	+16%	8%
Other	4	—	0%

Toepassing op de uitlopers van 2026